Sunday, April 09, 2006

Journal of National Security & Law

Saturday, April 08, 2006

future of US presence in iraq

it is some three years that first American soldier arrive in iraq,but with continue of insurgency,US still have military presence in this country.Weapones of mass destruction(WMD) that was base for miltary attack,does not exist and every day,american and iraqi public opinions increased against US military presence.Will US remain in iraq?
this article tend to answer the achivements of this article shows thatUS foreign policy elites have common agree on necessity for american troops drow down from iraq.analysis of data available in operational environment shows US tendenency for pull down its troops in near term(next one or two years).but in the same time,data analysis shows US willingness for remaining special level of its troops in iraq at least for middle or even long term.althogh it is not possible truly suppose what amount of US troops will remain in iraq,but data available about US willingness for remain some troops in iraq is confirmable.

table of context:

-teorical structure

A)behaviorical Environment

1)US policy in middle east after sept 11
2)US policy in iraq
3)Presence strategies

3-1)exit strategies
1) urgent exit
2)Timetable exit

3-2)presence strategies

-analysis of hivements in operational environment

B)behaviorical environment

iraq security context
1)vacillation of US troops in iraq
2)Functions of mlitary in front
3)geopoltics of military bases


-tables and figures


attention;the full version of the article has published in persian in last august(2005),page(A4):41
for use contact me through: OR

Thursday, April 06, 2006

Egypt parliamentary elections and muslim brootherhood silent revolution

Egyptian parliamentary elections has held in november and december 2005.muslim
brootherhoods(ikhwan ul-muslimin)achivment of 88 sits ofegyptian parliament (majlis ul-shaab)was an silent revolution and transfer of power that affect islamic movement of middle east at whole.after this event the way of westernist governments deale whit islamists movements that take power throgh parliamentary elections will be the important issue. Altough some argue that egyptian election resault and islamist empowering will challenge the process of reforms,but it appears that whole process of events will be in direct of reforms.
If ikhwan victory has been compeleted by achivement of other opposition and secularist parties,the whole process of reforms whoud be accelerated,that is true ,but ikhwan power achivement is note mean rise of in in muslim brotherhood experience in 1990s and 2000-2005 shows that this movement has achive some elements of ploralism, democracy and democratic discourse.
The article would study ikhwan delingwith mubarak regim in past five years and some aspcts of feauter senarios.the whole article is in persian in 17 page A4. To see it contct me through; (this article published in decembr 2005)

Tuesday, April 04, 2006

iran and US:one bed two dream

iranian security advicer ali larijani several weeks ago formaly attained for his country readyness for talk with US on iraq crisis.larijani said that US officials before this,also applicate for face to face talks but iran had rejected;this we accepted it for applicate of abdul aziz hakim.
iran and US has said that their negotiation whould limited to iraq crisis,but some observers announce that iraq territory is well ready for diplomatic chess between islamic republic and united states on unlimited issues......... see fule in farsi in: